The potential for the establishment of new arbovirus transmission cycles in Europe
Autor(es): Higgs Stephen, Vanlandingham Dana L
Resumo: Mosquito-borne viruses are an increasing health threat to humans, - potentially other vertebrates, in areas where they have not previously existed or from which they had been eradicated. Chikungunya virus emergence exemplifies how multiple factors can act synergistically resulting in rapid, large-scale redistribution - establishment. Despite our increased capacity to collect - analyze large amounts of data, we still lack epidemiological models to facilitate accurate predictions of when - where new diseases may occur. Models focusing on climate changes may have long-term value; however, there is an urgent need for mathematical modeling of viral epidemiology to enable forecasting immediate or near-term threats.
Palavras-Chave: Arbovirus; Europe
Imprenta: Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, v. 109, n. 9, p. 543-544, 2015
Identificador do objeto digital: 10.1093/trstmh/trv061
Descritores: Chikungunya virus - Arbovirus ; Chikungunya virus - Viral infections ; Chikungunya Virus - Virus ; Chikungunya virus - Transmission ; Chikungunya virus - Epidemiology
Data de publicação: 2015
